Luck/Skill?

This year marks my first foray into the world of fantasy baseball. Some friends invited me to join their league, and I eagerly accepted, knowing that as the only Yankee fan in a league of Red Sox faithful, this would be an excellent opportunity to do some missionary work. I grossly underestimated the intensity of fantasy baseball. These guys put some serious time into researching players, analyzing, hypothesizing, conjecturing, etc. I'm more of a gut feel type of fantasy player (read: minimal effort/research). However, my team has been performing quite well thus far (first place in the league after two days). While startled by this success, I am not completely baffled. There is a precedent here. For the last two seasons, my sister Laura has dominated our family March Madness bracket competition. Her knowledge of the teams and of basketball in general is limited, yet she's remarkably accurate. Last year she was ranked number 1 on ESPN.com after the first day of play, and she finished far higher than any of us ever has. I wish I could offer some explanation as to the causes of these sports phenomenon, but I've got nothing. My apologies to Jessica Hagy for blatantly mimicking her graph approach. Meanwhile, keep cheering on Los Mulos, the most successful and least managed team in the league!